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El•Gazette 467.qxp_El•Gazette 467  23/10/2019  13:10  Page 18





              TRENDS: DATA                 .


              English language travel –




              a maturing market?






              Patrik Pavlacic, Chief Researcher at market analysts Bonard, reveals the
              2018 student statistics




                      fter its peak in 2014, confirmation   The maturity of the sector is also   Malaysia, which attract a significant
                      comes that the global English   demonstrated by the performance of the top   proportion of intra-regional English language
                      language travel sector has entered   20 source countries. They produce 84 per cent   student mobility from within Asia. At Bonard,
              Amaturity. From a destination       of all student weeks globally, yet only eight   our ongoing investigation into the
              perspective, the times of double-digit year-on-  markets within this club grew year-on-year.   Philippines’ market has counted over 100
              year increases are long gone and the   We saw China and Japan, the leading   language centres catering to international
              international arena effectively constitutes a   source markets in Asia, decline in 2018:   students.
              zero-sum game – destinations are growing at   China dropped by 7 per cent, the first time
              each other’s expense.               decrease since 2012. However, the picture is
                As an independent market research   also skewed by the emergence of the    The British Council
              specialist, at Bonard we align global data   Philippines as an increasingly sought-after
              collection and reporting for eight traditional   ELT destination within the region.    reckons that English is
              English Language destinations: Australia,   In addition, while traditionally strong
              Canada, Ireland, Malta, New Zealand, South   Western European markets continue to   already spoken at a
              Africa, the UK and the USA.         shrink, there are considerable opportunities in
                We estimate that in 2018 there were   Latin America. Colombia, Brazil and Mexico   useful level by some
              approximately 1.38 million international   all performed well last year, experiencing a   1.75 billion people, a
              students pursuing English language courses   year-on-year increase in student weeks of 11
              abroad for a total of 10,496,000 student   per cent, 3 per cent and 14 per cent   quarter of the world’s
              weeks, the traditional measurement of length   respectively.
              of stay. The figures mark a 0.5 per cent   What are the driving forces behind these   population.
              decrease in terms of student numbers and a   developments? There are a number of macro
              decrease of 3.2 per cent in terms of student   trends.
              weeks compared to 2017.              First, the growth in the number of English   Demographics and purpose of learning are
                Gradual declines in the average length of   learners around the world is slowing. The   also shifting. Destinations such as the UK,
              stay in destinations such as the UK, the USA,   British Council reckons that English is already   Ireland and Malta have experienced increases
              Australia and Canada have contributed to the   spoken at a useful level by some 1.75 billion   in the numbers of juniors, who now account
              fall in the number of overall student weeks.   people, a quarter of the world’s population.   for more than half of all English language
              The only exceptions to this trend in 2018   Second, domestic education systems are   students from abroad. This is coupled with
              were Ireland and South Africa, which, despite   developing and the local supply of English   the fact that General English has been on the
              decreases in student numbers, posted growth   language providers as well as online learning   decrease. There is greater demand for more
              in student weeks.                   have been on the increase, offering learners   advanced/experience-based courses, such as
                According to the work we have done with   the opportunity to study English locally and   English for Academic Purposes, English
              English UK, Britain experienced mixed   thus meeting demand, especially for those at   courses leading to better career opportunities,
              development in 2018 – even though student   lower levels of proficiency.   English-plus-Activity courses and so forth.
              numbers rose by 1.6 per cent, student weeks   Next comes the rise of non-traditional   Finally, we are seeing consolidation.
              dipped by 0.9 per cent.             destinations such as the Philippines and   Providers and agents are increasingly






                                                                                                           1,378,345
                                                       10,496,109










                Source: BONARD, 2019                                 Source: BONARD, 2019
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