Page 18 - ELG1706 Jun Issue 448
P. 18

DATA & ANALYSIS                    .

             China climbs amid





             the minus signs








             Claudia Civinini analyses the latest gloomy (and not-so-gloomy)
             student number   gures for UK English language schools



                                                                      th
                   he weak pound has not saved the   years China has risen from 11  to become the   report, the third produced in collaboration
                   UK ELT industry from its third   fifth source market for the UK, and junior   with Student Marketing, she said it was vital
                   consecutive year of decline, figures   students have for the first time overtaken   to track market trends closely to build an
             Tfrom English UK show.              adult numbers. Scotland and Northern   industry that is ‘professional, innovative,
               Increased competition between host   Ireland bucked the trend and actually   intelligence-led and thriving’.
             countries, political uncertainty in Europe,   registered some growth.    Janet Galbraith, chair of English UK
             Brexit and obstructive visa policies may have   English UK chief executive Sarah Cooper   Scotland, said she was ‘delighted’ to have seen
             all conspired to cause the decline in 2016, the   said last month that although the industry   growth in the past year.
             new report suggests.                faced a downward trend, there was still ‘much   She added: ‘We believe that the increase
               Both student numbers and student weeks   to be positive and optimistic about’.  in direct flights operating into Scotland, the
             show a minus sign for private and state   Speaking at her organisation’s annual   safe nature of our cities and a very positive
             providers, and the same is true for staple   general meeting, she added that she had been   national rhetoric towards overseas visitors
             source markets such as Italy and Spain.  impressed by ‘innovation and enterprise in   has really helped our schools strengthen their
               However, some interesting trends hide   the sector’ as language schools attempted to   position in the market, and the positive trend
             among the doom and gloom: in the past 3   rise to the challenge. In a foreword to the   looks set to continue in 2017’.

                                                                 Market shares by UK regions
                  BIGGEST SLICE OF THE
                                 CAKE

              Two regions have grown their share of the ELT
              market: Scotland leads the way with an 11 per cent
              increase from 2015, followed by Northern Ireland
              with 4 per cent.
              London and the south and south-east of England
              retain the biggest slice of the ELT cake (see graph on
              the right): 51 per cent of it, to be precise. However,
              these regions are not immune from the general
              decline in student weeks.
              London is at -11 per cent, similar to Wales, south
              and south-east England are at -12 per cent, as is the
              south-west. The sharpest decline is seen in northern
              England at -14 per cent.



                                SAUDI SURGE                                  The 20 biggest source markets
                                                                             1.  Italy             11. Brazil
              The golden couple, Italy and Spain, no longer dominate the charts.   2.  Saudi Arabia   12. Kuwait
              Italy still holds the pole position, despite showing a reduction
              in both student numbers and student weeks for the second       3.  Spain             13. Russia
              consecutive year, but Spain has given in to a   ve-year downward   4.  France        14. Colombia
              trend and slipped to third position. In second position there is a new   5.  China   15. Taiwan
              entry, Saudi Arabia, showing a plus sign for both student numbers   6.  Turkey       16. Oman
              and student weeks – which average at an impressive 9.4. Another   7.  Switzerland    17. Thailand
              pleasant surprise is China in   fth position. So, while most of the   8.  South Korea  18. Mexico
              top-20 source countries show a fall, some upward trends are worth   9.  Japan        19. Argentina
              mentioning: Kuwait, Argentina and above all Mexico, which sent 45   10. Germany      20. Chile
              per cent more students in 2016 than 2015.

             18                                                                                              June 2017




        p18-19.indd   2                                                                                         6/6/2017   2:53:35 PM
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